Hong Kong Covid crisis: why is the death rate so high? HKFP compares the citys latest Covid-19 statistic with three other international cities London, New York and Singapore in the hope of providing a clearer picture: The highly transmissible Omicron variant caused deaths to rise in all four cities, especially after their respective holiday seasons, but Hong Kongs recent surge in fatalities was unmatched. For this analysis we define a death as involving COVID-19 if the International Classification of Diseases 10th edition (ICD-10) code U07.1 (COVID-19, virus identified) is mentioned on the death certificate. | Contact Us | Newsletter | Annual & Transparency Report. Hospitalizations include people with a confirmed Covid-19 diagnosis who had Covid-related symptoms such as respiratory illness, fever or vomiting. It hit almost a year into the vaccination effort, when more than 80 percent of adults had received at least one vaccine dose. It is clear that COVID-19 vaccine booster doses have been very effective . Hospitalization rates for children and for vaccinated people under 50 years old remain minuscule. The median (interquartile range) age of these Omicron cases was 30 (20-33) years, 7% were aged 60 years and above, and 50% were male. Notes: Data for people with a third dose is not available for all time periods. From the time Covid vaccines became available to all adults in April 2021, there has been a strong relationship between vaccination rates and Covid surges, with bigger case surges in areas with lower vaccination rates. The seven-day daily average of cases is about 247,300 cases per day, down 44% from the previous week, she said. Kids' Covid Hospitalizations Hit Record in U.S. Omicron Surge AHA does not claim ownership of any content, including content incorporated by permission into AHA produced materials, created by any third party and cannot grant permission to use, distribute or otherwise reproduce such third party content. Citing internal meetings at the Hospital Authority, Hui told HKFP on Friday that the median age of deceased Covid-19 patients in Hong Kong was 85. The age trend is seen in Florida, said Jason Salemi, an epidemiologist at the University of South Florida College of Public Health. Risk of reinfection, vaccine protection, and severity of infection with The risk of death varied by age, with those aged under 70 years (Aged 18-59 years: hazard ratio: 0.13, 95% confidence interval: 0.06 to 0.30; Aged 60-69 years: hazard ratio: 0.14, 95% confidence interval: 0.05 to 0.36) having a greater reduction in the risk of COVID-19 death with Omicron compared with Delta than individuals aged 70 years and over (hazard ratio: 0.45, 95% confidence interval: 0.16 to 1.24). The COVID-19 variant was ascertained using S-gene target failure (SGTF). Some of the countrys new Covid acceptance or fatalism stems from frustration with the costs of pandemic precautions: the loss of learning from closed schools; the isolation from social distancing; the nationwide rise in blood pressure, drug overdoses, mental health problems and more. For non-COVID-19 deaths, individuals were censored at the date of death if this occurred before the end of the study date. Deaths Among Older Adults Due to COVID-19 Jumped During the Summer of Thats because many people in lower-vaccinated areas had some level of immunity from serious illness during previous waves. The Public Health Data Asset (PHDA) is a linked dataset combining the 2011 Census, the General Practice Extraction Service (GPES) data for coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic planning and research, the Hospital Episode Statistics (HES), death registration data and COVID-19 vaccination data from the National Immunisation Management Service (NIMS). Fact Check-Omicron does not have a 100% survival rate, as - Reuters TOKYO - The mortality rate for the omicron variant of the novel coronavirus among people aged 80 and over is very close to that for seasonal influenza, the health ministry has announced.. He died sometime overnight, she said. Deaths registered in England and Wales Bulletin | Released weekly Provisional counts of the number of deaths registered in England and Wales, including deaths involving coronavirus (COVID-19), in the latest weeks for which data are available. It also makes sense to wear N95 or KN95 masks, which are more effective than most. A Growing Gap Between the Vaccinated and Unvaccinated - The New York Times Researchers worldwide are racing to. Peter Lee is a reporter for HKFP. Nigel Chiwaya is the Senior Editor, Data Viz for NBC News Digital. A retired sociologist and academic, she loved art, opera, dancing and music. What is the World Economic Forum doing to manage emerging risks from COVID-19? This decision was based on the evidence presented to the TAG-VE that Omicron has several mutations that may have an impact on how it behaves, for example . But with Omicron and waning immunity, death rates rose again. Is Covid really more deadly than the flu? It was until omicron came Barely a week has elapsed since scientists in Botswana and South Africa alerted the world to a fast-spreading SARS-CoV-2 variant now known as Omicron. The denominators used to calculate rates were based on the 2019 Vintage population. Additionally, last winter, vaccines had only just started to roll out, children were not yet eligible and the conversation surrounding boosters was far off. The pattern of Covid deaths this year has recreated the dynamics from 2020 before vaccines were introduced, when the virus killed older Americans at markedly higher rates. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. There is also uncertainty about what will happen when Omicron reaches older age groups because most of those catching it and . As of mid-May, more than one-quarter of Americans 65 and older had not had their most recent vaccine dose within a year. They said it is lower than the 4.25% case fatality rate seen earlier in the outbreak, but it is still higher than the 0.006% to 0.09% seen with seasonal flu. The true picture of omicrons toll is somewhat skewed by its increased transmissibility, Wachter said: Because all hospital patients are tested for Covid when they are admitted, its hard to know how many patients tested positive but died from other causes and how many specifically died from Covid. It was previously much worse. Analysis comparing the risk of coronavirus (COVID-19) death in people infected by Omicron and Delta variants, after adjusting for age, sex, other socio-demographic factors, vaccination status and health conditions. Though significantly less common, omicron still killed vaccinated people. Covid surged through the county, sending the death rate to 26 per 100,000 people during the week of Jan. 30, more than six times the countrys average. For those aged 80 or more, only 30 per cent have received two or more jabs.. Data analysis shows omicron variant less severe, better at evading When she lost her eyesight from macular degeneration, she started going to her local gym and attending fitness classes for seniors three times a week. Feb. 9, 2022 With the Omicron variant now accounting for almost 100% of COVID-19 cases in the United States, the seven-day average of daily COVID-related deaths hit 2,600 recently, the highest. The study shows that significant protection against hospital admission even among older age groups, with 67 percent in people aged 60 to 69 and 60 percent for people aged 70 to 79. He holds a Global Communication bachelor degree from CUHK. Death rates for white people in their late 30s more than tripled last fall compared to the previous winter. When a population gained its immunity whether through vaccination or prior infection was a strong indicator of outcomes. Now she is ready to share it with others, Witnesses to war: the Hong Kong journalists on the frontlines in Ukraine, Artist considers legal action to retrieve Tiananmen crackdown monument removed from University of Hong Kong, In Pictures: Blaze engulfs high-rise construction site in Tsim Sha Tsui, nearby residents evacuated, Clockenflap 2023 guide, schedule and map: Hong Kong abuzz for mask-free, sold-out festival this weekend, Flames from Tsim Sha Tsui construction site fire spread to nearby buildings, as authorities investigate cause of blaze, Hongkongers wearing face masks at protests risk prosecution, says gov't advisor as anti-mask law set to stay, Proudly powered by Newspack by Automattic. In much of the U.S., a large number of adults including older adults remain. For older people, there is also a grimmer reason: So many of the most fragile Americans were killed by Covid over the winter that the virus now has fewer targets in that age group. There was no evidence that the relative risk of death involving COVID-19 varied for Omicron relative to Delta given the number of pre-existing health conditions (see the accompanying dataset). However, as the data for 2021 are provisional, they are subject to change. Our analysis is based on the Office for National Statistics (ONS) Public Health Data Asset (PHDA), linked to national testing data taken in the community from NHS Test and Trace (pillar 2). All content is available under the Open Government Licence v3.0, except where otherwise stated, /peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/causesofdeath/articles/comparingtheriskofdeathinvolvingcoronaviruscovid19byvariantengland/december2021, Identification of coronavirus (COVID-19) infections by variant, Risk of death involving coronavirus (COVID-19) by variant, Risk of death involving coronavirus (COVID-19) by variant data, Risk of death involving coronavirus (COVID-19) by variant, England: December 2021, Monthly mortality analysis, England and Wales: December 2021, Deaths involving COVID-19 by vaccination status, England: deaths occurring between 1 January and 31 December 2021, Comparing the risk of death involving coronavirus (COVID-19) by variant, England. With nearly 3,000 lives lost in less than three months, Hong Kongs fifth wave of Covid-19 led by the highly infectious Omicron variant has dealt a deadly blow to the once zero-Covid city. That was especially true for older people, whose immune systems respond less aggressively to vaccines in the first place. If a confidence interval is 95%, it is expected that the interval will contain the true value on 95 occasions if repeated 100 times. Update on Omicron. 3 Includes all hospitalizations reported through COVID-NET (from March 1, 2020, through January 21, 2023, accessed on February 2, 2023). I dont think we should treat the premature death of older adults as a means of ending the pandemic, Dr. Stokes said. Covid cases are again starting to rise in parts of the country, with case counts in Arizona, Florida, Georgia and New York increasing more than 50 percent in the past two weeks. The US Omicron death toll has now surpassed the highest seven-day average of the more severe Delta variant. In Hong Kong, particularly, the variant proved the danger it poses to public health as it brought an acute surge in both daily case numbers and deaths, and overwhelmed the citys public medical services. We would like to use cookies to collect information about how you use ons.gov.uk. CDC twenty four seven. The opposite was true for middle-aged Americans: Life expectancy in that group, which had already dropped more than it had among the same age range in Europe, fell even further in 2021. The latest Updates and Resources on Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19). That changed last summer and fall, during the Delta surge. Update on Omicron - World Health Organization Deaf or hard of hearing customers, please call 711 (Washington Relay) or email [email protected]. World Economic Forum articles may be republished in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International Public License, and in accordance with our Terms of Use. For the primary series analysis, age-standardized rates include ages 12 years and older from April 4, 2021 through December 4, 2021, ages 5 years and older from December 5, 2021 through July 30, 2022 and ages 6 months and older from July 31, 2022 onwards. On 26 November 2021, WHO designated the variant B.1.1.529 a variant of concern, named Omicron, on the advice of WHO's Technical Advisory Group on Virus Evolution (TAG-VE). 2 Page Break To request this document in another format, call 1-800-525-0127. People are starting to give up, my colleague Tara Parker-Pope told me. Among people 85 and older, the death rate last fall was roughly 75 percent lower than it had been in the winter of 2020, Dr. Stokess recent study found. This is not simply a pandemic of the unvaccinated, said Andrew Stokes, an assistant professor in global health at Boston University who studies age patterns of Covid deaths. The Omicron variant generally causes less severe disease than other strains of COVID, but because it is so transmissible, Omicron is infecting higher raw numbers of people that previous strains. CDC is not responsible for Section 508 compliance (accessibility) on other federal or private website. The fast-moving Omicron variant may cause less severe disease on average, but COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. are climbing and modelers forecast 50,000 to 300,000 more Americans could die by the. Feldman, from the Harvard T.H. Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. MOH | COVID-19 Statistics - Ministry of Health Note: People who did not complete their primary vaccination series are excluded. Speaking during Friday mornings regular press meeting, Chief Executive Carrie Lam said the citys past measures to boost vaccinations among the elderly had been insufficient and that authorities would prioritise promoting vaccinations among elderly citizens and children. Black omicron deaths also skewed younger than whites. Older people also made up an overwhelming share of the excess deaths the difference between the number of people who actually died and the number who would have been expected to die if the pandemic had never happened. Every decade she reinvented herself, said Gita Rampersad, Peggys daughter. We used cause-specific Cox proportional hazard regression models to estimate the hazard ratio of COVID-19 related death for individuals infected with Omicron versus Delta variants. To request permission to reproduce AHA content, please click here. At least 15 U.S. states have detected the omicron variant, as of Sunday, and that number is expected to rise, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Director Dr. Rochelle Walensky told ABC. Middle-aged adults were the majority of Black Covid deaths. Provisional death registrations and death occurrences data are used in this article. The COVID death rate is highest in the Midwest. About this page: How does mortality differ across countries? IE 11 is not supported. .chakra .wef-facbof{display:inline;}@media screen and (min-width:56.5rem){.chakra .wef-facbof{display:block;}}You can unsubscribe at any time using the link in our emails. WebMD does not provide medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. | Source: The New York Times. The risk of death involving coronavirus (COVID-19) is 67% lower following an Omicron infection compared with a Delta infection. You can unsubscribe at any time using the link in our emails. I really admired that.. With Omicron, I think the risk is not super high for relatively healthy and boosted people in their 70s, Janet Baseman, an epidemiologist at the University of Washington, told me. High vaccination rates may have helped prevent deaths from surging in highly vaccinated areas, but Wachter said that low vaccination rates werent necessarily a signal of increased deaths during the omicron wave. The Omicron Wave Was Deadlier Than Delta for Older People in the U.S. Ages 12-64 Age 65+ Omicron 163% of Delta peak 20 deaths per 100,000 Delta 10 Omicron 69% of Delta peak Delta April. We use this information to make the website work as well as possible and improve our services. At a national level, the overall level of error will be small compared with the error associated with a local area or a specific age and sex breakdown. On the contrary, he remembered a state official publicly casting doubt on boosters as they became available. Omicron, seasonal flu have similar mortality rates among people 80 or WHO/Europe | The Omicron variant: sorting fact from myth An NBC News analysis of Covid data for the week found: Older people and unvaccinated people made up the vast majority of fatalities during the week. And some of the new attitude stems from the reality that contracting Covid will not be a big deal for most people. A confidence interval is a measure of the uncertainty around a specific estimate. Peggy and her daughter were both vaccinated and boosted, and practiced social distancing. Almost as many Americans 65 and older died in four months of the Omicron surge as did in six months of the Delta wave, even though the Delta variant, for any one person, tended to cause more severe illness. The average death rate among Americans over age 65 who contract the flu has ranged between 1 in 75 and 1 in 160 in recent years, according to the C.D.C. Officials reported 5,906 deaths as of Mar 21 during the Omicron surge. Overall, about one in every 417 people in the US have died of Covid-19 and one in every seven people have been infected - more than 797,000 deaths and nearly 50 million cases, according to Johns . Among 111 946 (72%) Omicron cases with complete data on symptom status, 84 662 (76%) cases were reported as symptomatic and 27 284 (24%) as asymptomatic. The death toll which occurred two weeks after cases peaked across the United States made the week the deadliest thus far of 2022 and one of the deadliest weeks of the pandemic. [1], . In 2021, you see the mortality impact of the pandemic shift younger, said Ridhi Kashyap, a lead author of that study and a demographer at the University of Oxford. It is interesting to note that the blue (beta), green (delta), and red (omicron) loops get progressively flatter: this indicates falling case mortality, from 125 cases per million for beta to only around 25 cases per million for omicron. These cookies allow us to count visits and traffic sources so we can measure and improve the performance of our site. Thats higher than the approximately 2,000 daily deaths last autumn during the Delta surge, but less than the 3,000 daily deaths last January, when COVID vaccines were not widely available, The Post data analysis said. | Source: QCovid, 2021 by The Spritzler Report. Eric Topol, a . A booster dose with either mRNA vaccine reduces the risk of death to 18 per 10,000. The study provides evidence that a previous omicron infection in triple-vaccinated individuals provides high amounts of protection against BA.5 and BA.2 infections. Anyone can read what you share. The success of Covid-19 vaccines against omicron: Vaccinated up to five A fifth of all US child Covid deaths occurred during Omicron surge And the new wave of Omicron subvariants may create additional threats: While hospitalizations in younger age groups have remained relatively low, admission rates among people 70 and older in the Northeast have climbed to one-third of the winter Omicron waves towering peak. This group was selected as the reference group because it has accounted for the largest cumulative number of COVID-19 cases compared to other age groups. We use Cox proportional hazards regression models to measure the risk of death involving coronavirus (COVID-19) following infection by the Omicron variant compared with the Delta variant. Last year, people 65 and older died from Covid at lower rates than in previous waves. I think its moderate at most., Still, Baseman and other experts recommend vigilance, for several reasons. The government wasnt sure about the booster shot, he said. The California study involving nearly 70,000 people who developed COVID-19 via the Delta or Omicron variants found that people with the Omicron variant of COVID-19 were 91 percent less likely. That risk drops to 74 within two months of receiving the second dose of AstraZeneca, but rises to 134 at 4-6 months. Were at way higher levels of mortality than we would expect, Feldman said. Its been challenging because it goes up against the national narrative that omicron is nothing dangerous, said Allison Arwady, commissioner of the Chicago Department of Public Health. Harold Thomas Jr., 70, of Knoxville, Tenn., is one of many older Americans whose immunity may be waning because he has not received a booster shot. Why Omicron Is More Likely to Kill Americans - Yahoo! People were waiting up to 36 hours in the E.R. A March 18 report from the CDC found that Black adults were hospitalized at four times the rate of white adults. We also adjusted for a wide range of potential confounding factors. There have been COVID-19 deaths linked to the Omicron variant. Effectiveness of vaccination with symptoms by age groups There were a further 147 deaths within 28 days of a positive test. The size of the interval around the estimate is strongly related to the number of deaths, prevalence of health states and the size of the underlying population. December 23, 2022. He was previously a freelance journalist at Initium, covering political and court news. There were 128 deaths involving COVID-19 and 53 deaths not involving COVID-19 in those infected with Omicron, and 189 and 28, respectively, in those infected with Delta. The omicron wave, like each previous wave, was so deadly to older adults because they mount a less effective immune response, said Dr. Justin Feldman, research associate at the Harvard T.H. But Feldman noted that data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on excessive mortality from Covid showed death rates have skyrocketed during the pandemic. Italy: coronavirus death rate by age group 2023 | Statista There are also some steps that individuals cannot take but that society could: Requiring people to be vaccinated to enter restaurants (as New York City has and Washington, D.C., soon will) and fly on airplanes; expanding access to walk-in vaccine clinics, rapid tests and post-infection treatments (as the Biden administration has begun doing); and improving ventilation in public indoor spaces. They found that in the 14-day period ending Dec. 11 -- the last period in which the delta variant was dominant -- COVID case rates in Los Angeles were 12.3 times higher among the unvaccinated . Eventually, Omicron entered elderly care homes and found a particularly vulnerable portion of the population, all the more so because of the low vaccination rate among the city's senior citizens. Health officials determined that the omicron Covid variant caused less serious illness than previous variants, but what the virus lacked in severity it made up for in sheer contagiousness. No week of the omicron wave saw more deaths than the week of Jan. 30 to Feb. 5. In addition, we fitted separate fully adjusted models for those aged 18 to 59 years, those aged 60 to 69 years, and those aged 70 years and over to look at interactions between variant and the number of health conditions (zero, one to two, or three and more). HKFP compares the citys latest Covid-19 statistics with three other international cities London, New York and Singapore in the hope of providing a clear picture of the impact of the fifth wave. Data from the Department of Health and Human Services shows that almost 80 percent of deaths during the week of Jan. 30 were adults aged 65 and older, and HHS data for the first four weeks of January also showed that each week unvaccinated people died at a rate 8 to 10 times higher than that of vaccinated people when adjusted for age and population. The mean time from positive result to death involving COVID-19 was 13 days for Omicron and 16 days for Delta (see the accompanying dataset for more information on the study population). And while large portions of the country werent vaccinated, Wachter said those that recovered from infection during the summers delta wave probably had some natural immunity against serious illness. His job didnt allow time off for precautions, Jeanine said, only allowing workers with symptoms to take sick time. Sample interpretation: Compared with ages 18 to 29 years, the rate of death is 3.5 times higher in ages 30 to 39 years, and 350 times higher in those who are ages 85 years and older. COVID-19 mortality rates by age group with CDC dataset. Above all, scientists say, get boosted now if you are eligible. Visualizing omicron: COVID-19 deaths vs. cases over time Schwab Foundation for Social Entrepreneurship, Centre for the Fourth Industrial Revolution, Omicron has had more than a mild impact on workforces, IMF sees higher inflation as supply chains and Omicron slow economic growth. And more than half of people in that age group had not been given a shot in the last six months. Walensky said the Omicron variant now accounts for almost 100% of COVID viruses circulating in the United States. jim martin death couples massage class san diego beaver falls football omicron death rate by age group. Pre-Omicron versions of Covid, in other words, seem to present risks of a similar order of magnitude to vaccinated people as a typical flu. Shock graphs show how Omicron is tearing through younger age groups Hong Kongs recent death rate has already surpassed the peak of Londons seven-day rolling average per 100,000, which occurred in April 2020, when the pandemic was still at its earliest stages and vaccinations had not yet been produced. That swing in the pandemic has intensified pressure on the Biden administration to protect older Americans, with health officials in recent weeks encouraging everyone 50 and older to get a second booster and introducing new models of distributing antiviral pills. Comparing the risk of death involving coronavirus (COVID-19) by variant Monthly mortality analysis, England and Wales: December 2021 Bulletin | Released 21 January 2022 Provisional death registration data for England and Wales, broken down by sex, age and country. She said that the seven-day average of daily deaths was about 2,400, up 3% from the previous week.
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